Turkey is navigating a complex landscape of security challenges and geopolitical transformation, as recent developments highlight both internal counterterrorism efforts and Ankara’s growing regional and international role.

Foiled Attack on Israeli Consulate in Istanbul

The Turkish Ministry of Interior announced that security forces successfully neutralized three attackers involved in an armed assault targeting the Israeli Consulate in Istanbul. According to an official statement, one of the assailants, identified as Yunus E.S., was killed during the operation and was linked to a terrorist organization exploiting religion. The other two attackers, brothers Onur G. and Enes G., were captured injured. Authorities revealed that Onur G. had a prior criminal record related to narcotics offenses.

Investigations indicate that the attackers traveled from the city of Izmit to Istanbul in a rented vehicle and maintained extensive digital communications prior to the attack. Security forces are continuing to interrogate the injured suspects to uncover further details about their affiliations and plans.

The Presidency’s Directorate of Communications praised the swift and decisive response of security forces, emphasizing that their intervention prevented a potentially larger threat. Two police officers sustained minor injuries during the confrontation.

Witnesses reported hearing gunfire near the consulate building, triggering a large-scale security alert. The attackers, reportedly dressed in military attire and equipped with additional ammunition, carried out the attack for over five minutes, suggesting a high level of preparation.

President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan condemned the attack, describing it as a “treacherous act,” and reaffirmed Turkey’s unwavering commitment to combating terrorism. He stressed that such provocations would not undermine national security or stability.

Journalist Steven Sahiounie of MidEastDiscourse conducted an interview with Turkish writer and journalist Hamza Tekin, author of the book “The Nightmare and the Spy.”

1. Steven Sahiounie (SS):  Regarding the shooting that took place in Istanbul near the Israeli consulate — do you think it is related to the latest developments in the region and the conflict between Washington and Tel Aviv on one side, and Tehran on the other?

Hamza Tekin (HT):  What happened in the Beşiktaş district of Istanbul near the Israeli consulate was a terrorist attack carried out by two brothers, and a third individual wanted on drug-related charges. The attack failed due to the professionalism and swift response of the Turkish police.

The biggest failure of this attack lies in the fact that it did not achieve its objectives. The attackers were unable to reach any target, did not succeed in killing anyone, and failed to accomplish their intended symbolic goals, which were twofold:

First, the attack aimed to undermine stability and security in Istanbul in order to hinder its transformation into a safe hub for investments and capital, especially after many cities in the region have been severely affected by the ongoing war. The success of Turkish security forces in thwarting the attack reinforces confidence that security in Istanbul remains strong and stable, making it a safe city for financial assets and investment.

Second, the attack coincided with the same day President Erdoğan inaugurated and laid the foundation stone for a massive complex aimed at strengthening Turkey’s defense industries, while also unveiling several advanced Turkish weapons systems. It appears the attack was intended to divert attention from this major national event. However, the rapid response of Turkish security forces prevented this objective, and the event proceeded as planned with Erdoğan’s attendance.

2. SS:  Turkey maintains good relations with both Washington and Tehran. What role is Ankara playing today in ending this conflict?

HT:  Between Washington and Tehran, Turkey is attempting to play the role of mediator through a Pakistani channel. Ankara currently supports Islamabad’s efforts to initiate genuine and direct negotiations between Iran and the United States.

Turkey advocates for an immediate end to the war before it escalates further in the region. It encourages both Tehran and Washington to engage in real negotiations that would resolve their differences and restore security and stability in the Middle East.

Turkey believes that expanding the war would plunge the region into deeper conflict and bloodshed among its peoples — including Kurds, Arabs, Turks, and Persians.

Ankara is working to leverage its good relations with both sides to calm tensions and prevent the region from sliding into further war, destruction, and chaos. At the same time, Turkey remains highly committed to protecting its national security, unity, and interests without becoming directly involved in the conflict.

3. SS:  The war in the Middle East entered its second month. What impact has it had on Turkey, and has it been positive or negative overall?

HT:  Naturally, Turkey is affected by this war both directly and indirectly. As a country located at the heart of the region and sharing a border with Iran, Turkey has experienced economic impacts similar to other nations, particularly due to the crisis surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

Turkey also faced potential security concerns when certain factions and terrorist groups attempted to mobilize in northwestern Iran, exploiting the situation. However, Turkish diplomacy managed to neutralize these threats before any military or security intervention became necessary.

One potentially positive aspect is that Istanbul is increasingly becoming an attractive destination for capital and investments fleeing the war. This is due to Turkey’s supportive legal framework, as well as its relative political, military, and security stability amid regional turmoil.

Turkish policy has succeeded in keeping the country away from the ongoing conflict. Attempts to drag Turkey into the war have failed, as have efforts to provoke it. Turkish diplomacy has so far managed to keep threats away from Turkish territory and interests — which is a notable positive achievement for the government.

Launch of New Trade Corridor to the Gulf

Amid escalating instability in the Strait of Hormuz, Turkey has launched a new overland trade corridor through Syria and Jordan to Saudi Arabia to ensure the continued flow of goods to Gulf countries.

Minister of Trade Ömer Bolat stated that the initiative, supported by an agreement with Saudi Arabia to facilitate transit visas for truck drivers, enables uninterrupted delivery of goods that can no longer pass through the maritime route. He noted that this corridor marks a strategic shift in regional logistics and strengthens Turkey’s position as a key supply bridge.

The corridor builds on a transit liberalization agreement with Syria initiated in August, allowing Turkish trucks to reach Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf states more efficiently. Turkey’s logistics sector, valued at approximately $112 billion, is expected to benefit significantly from this development.

Energy Security Remains Stable Despite Tensions

Despite the conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar confirmed that the country is not facing any issues with energy supply security, although he described the situation as “volatile.”

Turkey, a major energy importer, relies on the Middle East for about 10% of its oil supply—a level considered manageable. Bayraktar noted that no disruptions have occurred in natural gas imports from Iran, which remains one of Turkey’s key suppliers. However, he warned that every $1 increase in oil prices adds approximately $400 million to Turkey’s energy bill.

Limited Passage of Turkish Ships Through the Strait of Hormuz

In the maritime domain, Turkish authorities confirmed that two Turkish-operated vessels have successfully transited the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian restrictions imposed after the outbreak of hostilities. Of 15 Turkish ships initially present in the region, nine have applied for passage, while others await improved conditions.

Officials emphasized ongoing coordination with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs to ensure the safe movement of remaining vessels.

Turkey as a Key Player in Reshaping the Regional Order

Analysts suggest that the ongoing conflict may lead to a restructuring of the regional order, with a relative decline in U.S. influence and a growing role for Turkey. According to regional assessments, Gulf countries are reassessing their security strategies, seeking to diversify partnerships rather than rely solely on the United States.

Turkey’s expanding defense industry, which has seen significant growth in recent years, is a key factor in this shift. The country has reduced its dependence on foreign defense imports from 80% to 20%, while Its defense exports exceeded $10 billion last year.

Growing Role Within NATO

Simultaneously, Turkey is reinforcing its position within NATO. Reports indicate that Ankara is pursuing the establishment of a multinational corps headquarters on its territory, further cementing its strategic importance within the alliance.

Some analysts believe that ongoing global shifts, coupled with potential changes in U.S. foreign policy, may elevate Turkey to a more influential position in shaping regional and international balances.

From thwarting terrorist attacks at home to establishing alternative trade routes and asserting influence in regional security and politics, Turkey is positioning itself as a resilient and adaptive power. As geopolitical tensions continue to reshape the Middle East, Ankara’s multifaceted strategy suggests a long-term ambition to emerge as a central actor in the region’s future order.

END OF ARTICLE