When West Asia goes on a boil, the Israel Palestine conflict and “ warring” becomes the order of the day as one can trace out the exchange of missiles and dreaded drone attacks to the twin arch antagonists of the order of Israel and the non state actors which surround Tel Aviv to surmount the Jew nation. As missiles rain on cities, civic and military locations, the threesome nations of the order of Israel, United States of America and Iran slug it out though in the larger context of heavy “collateral damage”. We would be doing a disservice to the academic narrative of IR if only the regional ramifications of Operation Epic Fury are highlighted and brought at the helm of international affairs, its study as conflicts ebb and flow with their crests and troughs.
No one can contest the opinion that West Asia has always been a strategically significant and crucial region to hold on to in all historical confrontations, wars and geo political equations of all recorded epochs. Henry Kissinger himself explicates in great detail about the meet which included Molotov, the Russian Foreign Ministry Czar and the Ribbentrop, the German Foreign policy head as they both adduced the significance of ascertaining the security and access to the Arabian sea as a modicum of resisting the Allies in the early days of World War II. Wars are thus widespread and spreadeagled and some conflicts might smoulder beyond the immediately affected realm and can impact all the tenets of the Global eco-economics and geo-politics. The contemporary tussle signified by American, Epic Fury and Israel’s Rising Lion being the apt case in point.
The impact of the war in Middle East can be felt seethingly and multilaterally all across the Global firmament, which is unceremoniously torn asunder by strife and ceaseless conflicts. Though as the West Asian Force Majeure is not truly a war as it falls better ensconced in the definition of an, “ Asymmetric essaying of war”, still the economic consequences of the altercation has its far reaching and resounding impact. As energy and more precisely the Crude oil, and other Petro derivates are concerned, it, can be argued that a conflict in any other region would have not caused ripples and cascading crusades as the West Asian “Epic Fury” has done which is the nomenclature of President Trump’s designs in the sparring realm of West Asia. Water wars might too ensue in the conflict with Iran as the Tehran Caliphate has warned the region that its arsenal might militate against the water desalination installations and water generates in the region. One Cinematic interlude of, Water World, starring Kevin Costner and his webbed feet as he fights to look for the fuel in a water body world as an aftermath of a nuclear Armageddon.
India is too feeling the Oil heat as the conflict crosses one threshold after another. In a manner, New Delhi has done and undertaken its tightrope walk over the trickster’s rope of IR, as, an astute rope trick to balance out the Americans and Russians in the context of the Ukraine war. The similar balancing can be perceived and commented upon as a deft foreign policy and Diplomacy act due to which what is left of the Regime in Tehran, permitted the passage of neutral nation’s ships through it’s maritime space. Thus, New Delhi managed a kind of coup de Etat as it had managed the seamless ouster and transport of the Indian students from the Ukrainian cities of Kyiv and Mariupol. Hormuz strait is very strategically located as it connects the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman which finally meanders and broadens into the Arabian sea. Come the Pirates of the Caribbean or not!
India is dependent by a quantum of 90% upon the West Asian sources of energy, oil and natural gas including the crucial homestead supply of LNG, PNG and LNG thus any disruption of the oil supplies would have rendered the Indian population bereft of the all essential commodity stunting the supply of Energy instruments and leading to consequential inflation thus endangering the energy ecosystem of the nation. Still, New Delhi spawned the PPAC (The population Planning and Analysis Committee) arching across to the PSU’s, Government sector energy giants and other engaged corporates in order to sustain the nation’s supply of energy as far as the refining, transport, storage, awareness of the energy ecosystem is concerned.
Also, as an attendant fact, it can be brought forth that the Indian Government promptly took recourse to the Special commodities Act which was promulgated in 1955 and was amended in 2020 which permitted the Regime to intervene in the food, medicine and fertilizer market in the sense of a commodity easing out. This was attempted in several emergencies including in the epoch of the Covid profligacy. All in all, New Delhi forecasted and prodigiously prognosticated the malady of the oil glut and had maintained a healthy strategic reserve kitty with oil and gas to last for an appreciable time period of 45 days. In comparison the archetypal neighbour, Pakistan has been facing another crisis after its economic crisis, the vagaries of Operation Sindoor and now the oil glut which the Islamabad Regime led by Shahbaz Shareef did not prepare the nation for. The Government there slapped a three days week on the vocational and professional realms with pinching cutbacks on fuel and power making the homestead population reel under the deleterious fallout of Operation Epic Fury in West Asia. New Delhi might not come out of it untroubled and unscathed but its for the entire Global comity of economies to see and marvel that India is much better off in the face of the glut emanating due to the attacks on oil installations, rigs and refineries from both the maneuvers of the, “Coalition of the Willing” and the, “Axis of Resistance” exemplified by Iran and the rest.
Disclaimer
Views expressed above are the author’s own.
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